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Analysis on the trend of A shares on December 11th, 2024 and the market outlook for tomorrow.Prospect of tomorrow's market

Analysis on the trend of A shares on December 11th, 2024.Prospect of tomorrow's marketFrom the news, the Central Economic Work Conference was held from December 11th to 12th, which set a "positive" tone for next year and is expected to boost market confidence. The meeting demanded that fiscal policy should be moderately strengthened, quality and efficiency should be improved, and monetary policy should be flexible, moderate, accurate and effective, which is of great significance for consolidating the stable and sound foundation of macro-economy. In addition, the December meeting of the Federal Reserve on interest rates is approaching. According to the interest rate observation tool of the CME Federal Reserve, the probability of maintaining the current benchmark interest rate unchanged is 44.1%, and the probability of continuing to cut interest rates by 25 basis points is 55.9%. The result of the meeting will have an impact on global capital flows and market sentiment.

From a technical point of view, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,432.49 points on December 11th. In the short term, the market is still in a volatile pattern, but attention should be paid to the 5-minute level adjustment and the support level of 3,227 points. If the market can remain strong for half an hour after opening tomorrow, and the volume can be enlarged, it is expected to continue its upward trend. On the contrary, if there is a low opening and insufficient quantity and energy, the market may face downward adjustment pressure.On the whole, the uncertainty of A-share market still exists tomorrow. Investors can pay close attention to the macro-policy trends, the results of the Fed's interest rate meeting, the market volume and sector rotation, rationally adjust investment strategies, seize market opportunities, and control investment risks.From a technical point of view, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,432.49 points on December 11th. In the short term, the market is still in a volatile pattern, but attention should be paid to the 5-minute level adjustment and the support level of 3,227 points. If the market can remain strong for half an hour after opening tomorrow, and the volume can be enlarged, it is expected to continue its upward trend. On the contrary, if there is a low opening and insufficient quantity and energy, the market may face downward adjustment pressure.